Species · Massachusetts · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Massachusetts
Marsh Wren in Massachusetts has surged: up 350% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+350%Since 1970
6Routes In State
42Years
Notable Marsh Wren Trends in Massachusetts
long arc increasecomputed index
Marsh Wren has surged in Massachusetts: up 350% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Marsh Wren Population Forecast in Massachusetts
If the recent trend holds, Marsh Wren in Massachusetts is projected to rise about 247% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.46 (95% range 0.11–0.81). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±125.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+247%Change by 2029
0.46Projected 2029 index
0.11–0.8195% range
±125.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.44 | 0.09 | 0.79 |
| 2026 | 0.44 | 0.09 | 0.79 |
| 2027 | 0.45 | 0.10 | 0.80 |
| 2028 | 0.46 | 0.10 | 0.81 |
| 2029 | 0.46 | 0.11 | 0.81 |
Marsh Wren Survey Routes in Massachusetts
| Newburyport | 12 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Brockton | 2 | 1987 | 1976 |
| N. Andover | 2 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Mansfield | 1 | 1970 | 1970 |
| Warren 2 | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Sheffield | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
Marsh Wren Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.