Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Gray Flycatcher Population Trend in Nevada
Gray Flycatcher in Nevada has surged: up 31× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
31×Since 1971
32Routes In State
41Years
Notable Gray Flycatcher Trends in Nevada
long arc increasecomputed index
Gray Flycatcher has surged in Nevada: up 31× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Gray Flycatcher Population Forecast in Nevada
If the recent trend holds, Gray Flycatcher in Nevada is projected to rise about 27% by 2029 — from 3.8 in 2024 to a central estimate of 4.8 (95% range 0.57–8.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±148%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+27%Change by 2029
4.8Projected 2029 index
0.57–8.995% range
±148%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4.6 | 0.43 | 8.8 |
| 2026 | 4.7 | 0.47 | 8.8 |
| 2027 | 4.7 | 0.50 | 8.9 |
| 2028 | 4.7 | 0.54 | 8.9 |
| 2029 | 4.8 | 0.57 | 8.9 |
Gray Flycatcher Survey Routes in Nevada
| Sheldon Nwr | 43 | 2019 | 1992 |
| Charleston Reservoir | 29 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Bald Mtn. | 29 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Ranchogrande | 27 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Dinner Sta | 24 | 1993 | 1990 |
| Mizpah | 9 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Illipah | 6 | 2021 | 1991 |
| Midas | 5 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Fish Creek | 5 | 2021 | 1997 |
| Austin | 4 | 2018 | 2010 |
| Eureka | 4 | 2015 | 2008 |
| Humboldt Nf | 3 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Gardnerville | 3 | 2006 | 1993 |
| Cortez | 2 | 2023 | 2019 |
| Meadow Vally | 2 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Willis | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Ruby Valley | 2 | 2001 | 1999 |
| Oreana | 2 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Piute Mdws | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Calico Spr | 1 | 1971 | 1969 |
| Comins Lake | 1 | 2012 | 2005 |
| Walker Can | 1 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | 1 | 2010 | 2008 |
| Majors Place | 1 | 1991 | 1990 |
| Virgin Creek | 1 | 2014 | 1995 |
Gray Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.