BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Gray Flycatcher Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesAerial insectivores

Gray Flycatcher in New Mexico has surged: up 275% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+275%Since 1970
35Routes In State
51Years

Notable Gray Flycatcher Trends in New Mexico

long arc increasecomputed index

Gray Flycatcher has surged in New Mexico: up 275% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Gray Flycatcher Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Gray Flycatcher in New Mexico is projected to rise about 58% by 2029 — from 0.67 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.59–1.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±40.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+58%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.59–1.595% range
±40.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.00.531.5
20261.00.551.5
20271.00.561.5
20281.10.581.5
20291.10.591.5

Gray Flycatcher Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Gray Flycatcher in New Mexico.
Reserve1120231994
Mt. Taylor820121993
Pecos620171973
Mt. Taylor 2620242014
Claunch 2620242001
Fence Lake420241975
Horse Mtn420232000
Emory Pass420241995
Claunch320001987
Stinking Lk.319991997
Gallinas320211993
Pinon320241994
Cebolla220232016
Ojo Sarco220241969
La Plata 2220162014
Counselor220241995
Mcgaffey220221995
Capitan Mtn.220162009
Queen220212021
Bluewater Lake220212000
Nageesi120171968
Salt Lake 2120242019
Torreon120221991
La Cienega120151977
Horse Spgs120151987

Gray Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradoidahonevadaoregontexasutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.