Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Clark's Nutcracker Population Trend in Oregon
Clark's Nutcracker in Oregon has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
-53%Since 1970
52Routes In State
55Years
Notable Clark's Nutcracker Trends in Oregon
long arc declinecomputed index
Clark's Nutcracker has fallen sharply in Oregon: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Clark's Nutcracker Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Clark's Nutcracker in Oregon is projected to rise about 39% by 2029 — from 0.39 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.54 (95% range 0.00–1.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±51.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+39%Change by 2029
0.54Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.295% range
±51.4%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2028 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
| 2029 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 1.2 |
Clark's Nutcracker Survey Routes in Oregon
| Sisters | 13 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Barnes Val | 11 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Dell Spring | 9 | 1990 | 1968 |
| Picture Flat | 9 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Donnelly | 8 | 2006 | 2004 |
| Chinchalo | 6 | 2022 | 1995 |
| Zumwalt | 5 | 2003 | 1995 |
| Silvies | 5 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Paunina | 5 | 2013 | 1994 |
| Emigrant Lake 2 | 4 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Joseph | 4 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Eagle Rock | 4 | 1979 | 1973 |
| Ochoco | 4 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Newbridge | 4 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Bald Mtn. | 4 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Flora | 3 | 2003 | 1986 |
| Bly 2 | 3 | 2024 | 2007 |
| Mount Vernon | 3 | 2019 | 1986 |
| Bly | 3 | 1995 | 1988 |
| Desolation | 3 | 1999 | 1998 |
| Albee | 2 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Deschutes | 2 | 2021 | 1971 |
| Bridgeport | 2 | 2011 | 1989 |
| Buchanan | 2 | 1999 | 1979 |
| Paisley | 2 | 2023 | 1973 |
Clark's Nutcracker Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.