BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Clark's Nutcracker Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesGeneralists

Clark's Nutcracker in New Mexico has fallen sharply: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

-56%Since 1973
17Routes In State
51Years

Notable Clark's Nutcracker Trends in New Mexico

long arc declinecomputed index

Clark's Nutcracker has fallen sharply in New Mexico: down 56% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Clark's Nutcracker Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Clark's Nutcracker in New Mexico is projected to rise about 186% by 2029 — from 0.07 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.00–0.65). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±216.3%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+186%Change by 2029
0.19Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.6595% range
±216.3%Backtest error
19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.200.000.66
20260.200.000.66
20270.190.000.66
20280.190.000.65
20290.190.000.65

Clark's Nutcracker Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Clark's Nutcracker in New Mexico.
Ojo Sarco2020181968
Mt. Taylor920121993
Emory Pass619971995
Vallecitos520231994
Bluewater Lake420211999
Angel Fire420021992
Reserve320221993
Dulce220032001
Cebolla220231977
Mt. Taylor 2220242014
Angel Fire 2120242006
Pecos120091978
Horse Spgs119991999
Horse Mtn119731973
Stinking Lk.119971995
Mcgaffey120162015
Gallinas120191997

Clark's Nutcracker Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.