Species · Colorado · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Clark's Nutcracker Population Trend in Colorado
Clark's Nutcracker in Colorado has surged: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
20×Since 1971
77Routes In State
53Years
Notable Clark's Nutcracker Trends in Colorado
long arc increasecomputed index
Clark's Nutcracker has surged in Colorado: up 20× on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Clark's Nutcracker Population Forecast in Colorado
If the recent trend holds, Clark's Nutcracker in Colorado is projected to fall about 22% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 1.1–3.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±60.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-22%Change by 2029
2.1Projected 2029 index
1.1–3.095% range
±60.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 0.99 | 2.9 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 2.9 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2.9 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 3.0 |
Clark's Nutcracker Survey Routes in Colorado
| Piceance Basin | 38 | 2004 | 2003 |
| Moon Pass | 37 | 2024 | 1998 |
| South Fork | 31 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Mount Evans | 19 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Pinos Creek | 18 | 1990 | 1988 |
| Summitville | 16 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Fox Creek | 16 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Flattops | 15 | 2017 | 1994 |
| Nucla | 15 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Haycamp Mesa | 15 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Deadman Rd. | 14 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Dinosaur | 14 | 2019 | 1995 |
| Cochetopa Pass | 14 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Guffey | 12 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Gribbles Prk | 12 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Owl Creek Pass | 11 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Pinon | 9 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Guanella Pas | 8 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Trail Ridge Road | 7 | 2014 | 2003 |
| Willow Peak | 6 | 2018 | 1988 |
| Wet Mtns. | 6 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Baxter Pass | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Como | 6 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Marshall Pas | 6 | 2019 | 1995 |
| Blackhead Pk | 5 | 1998 | 1996 |
Clark's Nutcracker Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.