Species · Pennsylvania · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Canada Warbler Population Trend in Pennsylvania
Canada Warbler in Pennsylvania has increased: up 46% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+46%Since 1968
60Routes In State
58Years
Notable Canada Warbler Trends in Pennsylvania
No notable trend signals for Canada Warbler in Pennsylvania. See the full index history below.
Canada Warbler Population Forecast in Pennsylvania
If the recent trend holds, Canada Warbler in Pennsylvania is projected to rise about 16% by 2029 — from 0.26 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.15–0.44). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±37.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+16%Change by 2029
0.30Projected 2029 index
0.15–0.4495% range
±37.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.43 |
| 2026 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.43 |
| 2027 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.44 |
| 2028 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.44 |
| 2029 | 0.30 | 0.15 | 0.44 |
Canada Warbler Survey Routes in Pennsylvania
| Marsh Hill | 5 | 2024 | 1983 |
| Starlight | 4 | 1992 | 1978 |
| Broad Mtn. | 4 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Duboistown | 4 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Ansonia | 3 | 2023 | 2004 |
| Poyntelle | 3 | 2024 | 1973 |
| N Washington | 2 | 1978 | 1978 |
| N Pine Grove | 2 | 2022 | 1970 |
| Starlight 2 | 2 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Rothrock Sf | 2 | 2018 | 1992 |
| Roulette | 2 | 2011 | 1972 |
| Little Marsh | 2 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Ralston | 2 | 1972 | 1972 |
| Hop Bottom | 2 | 2006 | 1967 |
| Munson | 2 | 2023 | 1987 |
| New Ringgold | 2 | 1966 | 1966 |
| Sproul Sf-A | 2 | 2024 | 2002 |
| Ltl Pine Cr | 2 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Harmonsburg | 1 | 1996 | 1994 |
| Ellenton | 1 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Whig Hill | 1 | 2001 | 1998 |
| Akeley | 1 | 1971 | 1967 |
| Teepleville | 1 | 1988 | 1974 |
| Sigel | 1 | 2010 | 2002 |
| Lynch | 1 | 1998 | 1969 |
Canada Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.