BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Warbler Population Trend in New York

All statesForest birds

Canada Warbler in New York has fallen sharply: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-62%Since 1968
80Routes In State
58Years

Notable Canada Warbler Trends in New York

long arc declinecomputed index

Canada Warbler has fallen sharply in New York: down 62% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Canada Warbler Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Canada Warbler in New York is projected to fall about 94% by 2029 — from 0.33 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.02 (95% range 0.00–0.32). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±58.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-94%Change by 2029
0.02Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3295% range
±58.6%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.070.000.37
20260.060.000.36
20270.040.000.34
20280.030.000.33
20290.020.000.32

Canada Warbler Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Canada Warbler in New York.
N Wilmurt819981968
Sabattis719831966
Wanakena620241980
Dexter Lake619751968
Inlet420171979
St Regis Fls420161977
Hope Falls319941968
Degrasse320242000
Gabriels320241975
Parishville320231997
Huntington219951995
S Berne220121967
Laurens220231969
Oneonta220111968
Oxford219711971
Vestal Ctr219811981
East Java220221969
Mckeever220231974
Highmarket220241967
Blue Ridge S220101969
Newcomb220191971
Speculator220241966
Hopkinton220132013
Tupper Lake219721968
Balmat220071982

Canada Warbler Population Trend in Other States

connecticutgeorgiaindianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotanew-hampshirenew-jerseynorth-carolinaohiopennsylvaniarhode-islandtennesseevermontvirginiawest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.