BirdAnalyst
Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Canada Warbler Population Trend in Virginia

All statesForest birds

Canada Warbler in Virginia has surged: up 266% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+266%Since 1977
15Routes In State
34Years

Notable Canada Warbler Trends in Virginia

long arc increasecomputed index

Canada Warbler has surged in Virginia: up 266% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Canada Warbler Population Forecast in Virginia

If the recent trend holds, Canada Warbler in Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.23 (95% range 0.07–0.39). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±191.3%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.23Projected 2029 index
0.07–0.3995% range
±191.3%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.220.060.38
20260.220.060.38
20270.230.070.39
20280.230.070.39
20290.230.070.39

Canada Warbler Survey Routes in Virginia

Routes recording Canada Warbler in Virginia.
Mountain Lk.420181992
Potts Mtn.219921992
Iron Mtn.220111992
Iron Mountain 3220232014
Marion119771976
W Augusta120232012
Bald Knob120221992
Gr North Mtn120132013
Rural Retrt120142014
Shenandoa Np120241994
Covington119671967
Big Meadows120241995
Front Royal120022000
Pine Mtn.120102010
Iron Mountain 2120132012

Canada Warbler Population Trend in Other States

connecticutgeorgiaindianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-yorknorth-carolinaohiopennsylvaniarhode-islandtennesseevermontwest-virginiawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.