BirdAnalyst
Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black-throated Sparrow Population Trend in Texas

All statesArid-land birds

Black-throated Sparrow in Texas has collapsed: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-77%Since 1969
101Routes In State
57Years

Notable Black-throated Sparrow Trends in Texas

long arc declinecomputed index

Black-throated Sparrow has collapsed in Texas: down 77% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Black-throated Sparrow Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Black-throated Sparrow in Texas is projected to fall about 18% by 2029 — from 3.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.00–8.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±28.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-18%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.00–8.695% range
±28.9%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20253.20.009.1
20263.10.008.9
20273.00.008.8
20282.80.008.7
20292.70.008.6

Black-throated Sparrow Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Black-throated Sparrow in Texas.
Pumpville8520242006
Pecos8220172017
Casa Piedra6620231986
Delaware Crk5720151971
Devils R Cyn5620241994
Langtry5420001994
Presidio4920232000
Encinal4320101969
Catarina4220101970
Longfellow4120241968
Coyanda Draw4120241994
Catarina 24020172011
Black Gap3820231988
Salt Flat3820151995
Girvin3620241975
El Indio3220071970
Shafter3219851969
Hot Springs2920241967
Slaughter2720211968
Laredo2520231994
Toyahvale2420241996
Mentone2420151999
Quitman Cyn.2320091999
Cornudas2120181968
Castolon2020241994

Black-throated Sparrow Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.