Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-throated Sparrow Population Trend in Oregon
Black-throated Sparrow in Oregon has surged: up 88% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
+88%Since 1971
24Routes In State
50Years
Notable Black-throated Sparrow Trends in Oregon
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-throated Sparrow has surged in Oregon: up 88% on the route-weighted index since 1971.
Black-throated Sparrow Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Black-throated Sparrow in Oregon is projected to rise about 25% by 2029 — from 0.54 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.67 (95% range 0.00–1.4). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±89.1%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+25%Change by 2029
0.67Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.495% range
±89.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.64 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2026 | 0.65 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2027 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2028 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
| 2029 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 1.4 |
Black-throated Sparrow Survey Routes in Oregon
| Trout Creek | 46 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Catlow Rim | 21 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Warner Vally | 13 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Alvord Lake | 6 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Princeton | 5 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Blizzard Gap | 5 | 2024 | 1984 |
| Adrian | 4 | 2021 | 1985 |
| Three Forks | 2 | 2021 | 2018 |
| Blitzen 2 | 2 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Crowley | 2 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Blitzen | 2 | 1992 | 1984 |
| Clover Creek | 2 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Twickenham | 2 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Harney Lake | 2 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Flook Lake | 2 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Fandango Can | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Malheur Nwr | 1 | 1994 | 1986 |
| Elk Lake | 1 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Battle Mtn | 1 | 1991 | 1985 |
| Lookout Lake | 1 | 1994 | 1994 |
| Barnhouse | 1 | 2022 | 2007 |
| Green Mtn. | 1 | 2021 | 1995 |
| Crane | 1 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Crooked Riv. | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
Black-throated Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.