Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black-backed Woodpecker Population Trend in Oregon
Black-backed Woodpecker in Oregon has surged: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
+114%Since 1973
36Routes In State
50Years
Notable Black-backed Woodpecker Trends in Oregon
long arc increasecomputed index
Black-backed Woodpecker has surged in Oregon: up 114% on the route-weighted index since 1973.
Black-backed Woodpecker Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Black-backed Woodpecker in Oregon is projected to fall about 54% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.19 (95% range 0.03–0.36). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±34%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-54%Change by 2029
0.19Projected 2029 index
0.03–0.3695% range
±34%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.18 | 0.02 | 0.35 |
| 2026 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.35 |
| 2027 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.35 |
| 2028 | 0.19 | 0.02 | 0.35 |
| 2029 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.36 |
Black-backed Woodpecker Survey Routes in Oregon
| Paisley | 10 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Bly 2 | 6 | 2024 | 2009 |
| Barnes Val | 6 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Bald Mtn. | 5 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Silvies | 4 | 2024 | 2014 |
| Barnhouse | 3 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Desolation | 3 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Chinchalo | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Summit Pr | 2 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Logdell | 2 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Clearwater | 2 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Silver Creek | 2 | 2008 | 1992 |
| Sisters | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Hash Rock | 2 | 2001 | 1991 |
| Albee | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Lapham Res. | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
| Ochoco | 1 | 1979 | 1979 |
| Wizard Falls | 1 | 2015 | 2004 |
| Dell Spring | 1 | 1990 | 1969 |
| Camp Sherman | 1 | 1996 | 1974 |
| Mount Vernon | 1 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Granite | 1 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Elk Lake | 1 | 2018 | 1972 |
| Bly | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Badger Creek | 1 | 2015 | 2015 |
Black-backed Woodpecker Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.