Guild · Kentucky · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Grassland Birds In Kentucky

9 species in this guild. As a group they are -77% since 1968.

Guild Signals

guild collapsecomputed index

Grassland birds as a group have collapsed in Kentucky, down 77% since 1968.

Forecast

If the recent trend holds, Grassland birds in Kentucky is projected to fall about 85% by 2029 — from 3.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.47 (95% range 0.00–5.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-85%Change by 2029
0.47Projected 2029 index
0.005.895% range
±42.2%Backtest error
19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20251.50.006.8
20261.30.006.6
20271.00.006.3
20280.740.006.0
20290.470.005.8

Member Species In Kentucky

Grassland birds species in Kentucky.
Grasshopper SparrowPasserellidae-97%
Northern BobwhiteOdontophoridae-83%
Horned LarkAlaudidae-81%
Lark SparrowPasserellidae-79%
Eastern MeadowlarkIcteridae-78%
DickcisselCardinalidae-66%
Savannah SparrowPasserellidae-43%
Henslow's SparrowPasserellidae+141%
BobolinkIcteridae+411%

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.