Species · Utah · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Wilson's Phalarope Population Trend in Utah
Wilson's Phalarope in Utah has collapsed: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
-94%Since 1985
19Routes In State
36Years
Notable Wilson's Phalarope Trends in Utah
long arc declinecomputed index
Wilson's Phalarope has collapsed in Utah: down 94% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
Wilson's Phalarope Population Forecast in Utah
If the recent trend holds, Wilson's Phalarope in Utah is projected to rise about 172% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.37 (95% range 0.00–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±558.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+172%Change by 2029
0.37Projected 2029 index
0.00–2.395% range
±558.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2026 | 0.45 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2027 | 0.42 | 0.00 | 2.4 |
| 2028 | 0.40 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 0.37 | 0.00 | 2.3 |
Wilson's Phalarope Survey Routes in Utah
| Promontory | 75 | 2016 | 1974 |
| Saleratus Cr | 12 | 2016 | 1997 |
| Lynn | 10 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Neponset Res | 9 | 2018 | 1995 |
| Grouse Creek | 8 | 1983 | 1983 |
| E. Bear Lake | 6 | 2021 | 1999 |
| Oak City | 6 | 2000 | 1985 |
| Soapstone | 5 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Callao | 5 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Bear River | 4 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Woodruff | 3 | 2004 | 2002 |
| Goshen | 2 | 2024 | 2001 |
| Wellington 2 | 2 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Snowville | 2 | 2022 | 2015 |
| Vernal | 2 | 2018 | 2003 |
| Heber Mtn. | 2 | 2016 | 2004 |
| Gold Hill | 2 | 2018 | 1994 |
| Randolph | 1 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Shivwitz | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
Wilson's Phalarope Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.