Species · Arizona · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Ruby-crowned Kinglet Population Trend in Arizona
Ruby-crowned Kinglet in Arizona has surged: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1975.
24×Since 1975
15Routes In State
49Years
Notable Ruby-crowned Kinglet Trends in Arizona
long arc increasecomputed index
Ruby-crowned Kinglet has surged in Arizona: up 24× on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Ruby-crowned Kinglet Population Forecast in Arizona
If the recent trend holds, Ruby-crowned Kinglet in Arizona is projected to rise about 201% by 2029 — from 0.71 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.98–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±69.3%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+201%Change by 2029
2.2Projected 2029 index
0.98–3.395% range
±69.3%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.0 | 0.83 | 3.2 |
| 2026 | 2.0 | 0.86 | 3.2 |
| 2027 | 2.1 | 0.90 | 3.3 |
| 2028 | 2.1 | 0.94 | 3.3 |
| 2029 | 2.2 | 0.98 | 3.3 |
Ruby-crowned Kinglet Survey Routes in Arizona
| Alpine | 34 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Dry Park | 25 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Tsaile | 24 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Maine | 9 | 1997 | 1994 |
| Sprucedale | 8 | 2010 | 1992 |
| Mt. Graham | 7 | 2023 | 1995 |
| House Rock | 3 | 1997 | 1995 |
| Blue | 3 | 1991 | 1974 |
| Happy Jack | 2 | 2004 | 2002 |
| Pinetop | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Portal | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Flagstaff | 1 | 2013 | 1990 |
| Sawmill | 1 | 2014 | 1991 |
| Mormon Lake | 1 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Williams | 1 | 1993 | 1993 |
Ruby-crowned Kinglet Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.