BirdAnalyst
Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Greater Prairie-Chicken Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesGrassland birds

Greater Prairie-Chicken in Minnesota has declined: down 46% on the route-weighted index since 1982.

-46%Since 1982
10Routes In State
34Years

Notable Greater Prairie-Chicken Trends in Minnesota

No notable trend signals for Greater Prairie-Chicken in Minnesota. See the full index history below.

Greater Prairie-Chicken Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Greater Prairie-Chicken in Minnesota is projected to fall about 28% by 2029 — from 0.13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.09 (95% range 0.00–0.34). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±196.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2029
0.09Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.3495% range
±196.2%Backtest error
19802029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.100.000.34
20260.090.000.34
20270.090.000.34
20280.090.000.34
20290.090.000.34

Greater Prairie-Chicken Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Greater Prairie-Chicken in Minnesota.
Glyndon420241996
Oklee320042004
Beltrami320242000
Wylie320092008
Lockhart120222008
Erie120071992
Grygla119811981
Badger120032003
Backus119991980
Pine River119901985

Greater Prairie-Chicken Population Trend in Other States

coloradoillinoiskansasmissourinebraskanorth-dakotaoklahomasouth-dakotawisconsin

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.