Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Black Phoebe Population Trend in Texas
Black Phoebe in Texas has edged up: up 23% on the route-weighted index since 1977.
+23%Since 1977
18Routes In State
29Years
Notable Black Phoebe Trends in Texas
No notable trend signals for Black Phoebe in Texas. See the full index history below.
Black Phoebe Population Forecast in Texas
If the recent trend holds, Black Phoebe in Texas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.02 (95% range 0.01–0.04). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2027
0.02Projected 2027 index
0.01–0.0495% range
±22.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| 2024 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| 2025 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| 2026 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
| 2027 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.04 |
Black Phoebe Survey Routes in Texas
| Quitman Cyn. | 2 | 2009 | 2000 |
| Laredo | 2 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Black Gap | 2 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Quitman Canyon 2 | 2 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Montell | 2 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Presidio | 1 | 2022 | 2007 |
| Salt Flat | 1 | 2014 | 2003 |
| Marathon | 1 | 2009 | 2009 |
| El Indio | 1 | 1974 | 1974 |
| Comstock | 1 | 1976 | 1976 |
| Shafter | 1 | 1977 | 1974 |
| Mertzon | 1 | 1980 | 1979 |
| Pedro Creek | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Casa Piedra | 1 | 2022 | 1986 |
| Valentine | 1 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Canutillo | 1 | 2010 | 2002 |
| Bear Mtn | 1 | 1992 | 1989 |
| Utopia | 1 | 2007 | 1980 |
Black Phoebe Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.