BirdAnalyst
Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Phoebe Population Trend in Oregon

All statesAerial insectivores

Black Phoebe in Oregon has surged: up 550% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

+550%Since 1975
18Routes In State
35Years

Notable Black Phoebe Trends in Oregon

long arc increasecomputed index

Black Phoebe has surged in Oregon: up 550% on the route-weighted index since 1975.

Black Phoebe Population Forecast in Oregon

If the recent trend holds, Black Phoebe in Oregon is projected to fall about 37% by 2029 — from 0.31 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.20 (95% range 0.08–0.31). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±42.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-37%Change by 2029
0.20Projected 2029 index
0.08–0.3195% range
±42.9%Backtest error
19722029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.180.070.30
20260.190.070.30
20270.190.080.30
20280.190.080.31
20290.200.080.31

Black Phoebe Survey Routes in Oregon

Routes recording Black Phoebe in Oregon.
Coquille820241996
Wedderburn720241974
Emigrant Lake 2220242022
Barnes Val219721972
Green220242019
Selma220242004
Umpqua220242007
Elkton220242005
Glasgow220242005
Hazel Camp220221983
Ruch119971996
Scappoose120222022
Canby120162016
Nicolai Mtn.120242021
Winberry120232023
Lorane120232023
Secret Val120091999
Sams Valley120242004

Black Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.