BirdAnalyst
Species · New Mexico · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Black Phoebe Population Trend in New Mexico

All statesAerial insectivores

Black Phoebe in New Mexico has declined: down 45% on the route-weighted index since 1978.

-45%Since 1978
23Routes In State
37Years

Notable Black Phoebe Trends in New Mexico

No notable trend signals for Black Phoebe in New Mexico. See the full index history below.

Black Phoebe Population Forecast in New Mexico

If the recent trend holds, Black Phoebe in New Mexico is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.08 (95% range 0.00–0.18). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±137.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029
0.08Projected 2029 index
0.00–0.1895% range
±137.9%Backtest error
19742029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20250.090.000.18
20260.080.000.18
20270.080.000.18
20280.080.000.18
20290.080.000.18

Black Phoebe Survey Routes in New Mexico

Routes recording Black Phoebe in New Mexico.
Laborcita520191993
Columbus419991999
Pecos220161991
Valencia219961991
Jornada219811978
Laborcita 2220242022
Reserve220211993
Mesilla220001992
Ojo Sarco120192015
La Cienega120142014
Cooley Lake119761976
Carrizozo119741974
Cloudcroft120122004
Maxwell120122012
Gallinas120192015
Variadero120161999
Rosebud120012001
Red Rock120231994
Emory Pass120211996
Queen120022002
Sabinoso120132008
Logan120172016
Lake Valley119931993

Black Phoebe Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradonevadaoregontexasutahwashington

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.