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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ash-throated Flycatcher Population Trend in Texas

All statesAerial insectivores

Ash-throated Flycatcher in Texas has surged: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+118%Since 1969
160Routes In State
57Years

Notable Ash-throated Flycatcher Trends in Texas

long arc increasecomputed index

Ash-throated Flycatcher has surged in Texas: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Ash-throated Flycatcher Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Ash-throated Flycatcher in Texas is projected to rise about 36% by 2029 — from 4.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 5.4 (95% range 4.2–6.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±18.7%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+36%Change by 2029
5.4Projected 2029 index
4.2–6.695% range
±18.7%Backtest error
19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected index95% low95% high
20255.24.06.4
20265.34.16.5
20275.34.16.5
20285.44.26.6
20295.44.26.6

Ash-throated Flycatcher Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Ash-throated Flycatcher in Texas.
Longfellow4220241968
Bear Mtn3820241988
Devils R Cyn3520241994
Cornudas3320181969
Shafter3119851969
Eldorado3120231975
Girvin3020241975
Ozona2920221975
Encinal2820101969
Mertzon2820191967
Quitman Canyon 22820242010
Slaughter2520211968
Pumpville2520242006
Loyola Beach2420091994
Ft. Stockton2220242004
Comstock2120231967
Mentone2120152002
Pecos2120172017
Black Gap2020231988
Coyanda Draw2020241994
Salt Flat1920151995
Laredo1820192002
Quitman Cyn.1820091999
Catarina1720101970
Albany1720241969

Ash-throated Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States

arizonacaliforniacoloradoidahokansasnevadanew-mexicooklahomaoregonutahwashingtonwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.