Species · Nevada · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Ash-throated Flycatcher Population Trend in Nevada
Ash-throated Flycatcher in Nevada has surged: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+118%Since 1970
26Routes In State
48Years
Notable Ash-throated Flycatcher Trends in Nevada
long arc increasecomputed index
Ash-throated Flycatcher has surged in Nevada: up 118% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Ash-throated Flycatcher Population Forecast in Nevada
If the recent trend holds, Ash-throated Flycatcher in Nevada is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 3.7 (95% range 1.4–6.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+1%Change by 2029
3.7Projected 2029 index
1.4–6.095% range
±33.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.6 | 1.2 | 5.9 |
| 2026 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 5.9 |
| 2027 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 5.9 |
| 2028 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 6.0 |
| 2029 | 3.7 | 1.4 | 6.0 |
Ash-throated Flycatcher Survey Routes in Nevada
| Meadow Vally | 31 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Desert Nwr | 23 | 2024 | 1990 |
| Walker Can | 12 | 2024 | 1982 |
| Ranchogrande | 9 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Hiko | 9 | 2023 | 1968 |
| Caliente | 8 | 2021 | 1988 |
| Nelson | 8 | 2024 | 1995 |
| Ash Meadows | 7 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Jean Lake | 6 | 2013 | 1975 |
| Beatty | 5 | 2024 | 1991 |
| Carson River | 4 | 2005 | 2002 |
| Cortez | 4 | 2023 | 2022 |
| Alamo | 4 | 1989 | 1968 |
| Mizpah | 3 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Illipah | 3 | 2021 | 1992 |
| Majors Place | 2 | 2005 | 1999 |
| Ruby Valley 2 | 2 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Chimney Res. | 2 | 2024 | 2023 |
| Austin | 1 | 2017 | 2017 |
| Toiyabe Nf | 1 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Eureka | 1 | 1997 | 1994 |
| Dobbin Creek | 1 | 2008 | 1995 |
| Willis | 1 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Minerva | 1 | 2005 | 2005 |
| Val Of Fire | 1 | 2024 | 1976 |
Ash-throated Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.