Species · Indiana · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Alder Flycatcher Population Trend in Indiana
Alder Flycatcher in Indiana has fallen sharply: down 53% on the route-weighted index since 1985.
-53%Since 1985
8Routes In State
22Years
Notable Alder Flycatcher Trends in Indiana
No notable trend signals for Alder Flycatcher in Indiana. See the full index history below.
Alder Flycatcher Population Forecast in Indiana
If the recent trend holds, Alder Flycatcher in Indiana is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.04 (95% range 0.00–0.08). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±109.8%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2027
0.04Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.0895% range
±109.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2024 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2025 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2026 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
| 2027 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.08 |
Alder Flycatcher Survey Routes in Indiana
| South Bend | 1 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Indiana Dune | 1 | 2014 | 1996 |
| Columbia Cty | 1 | 1985 | 1985 |
| Packertown | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Ellis | 1 | 2004 | 2004 |
| Kankakee Sands | 1 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Packertown 2 | 1 | 2022 | 2010 |
| Pimento | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
Alder Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.