Species · Virginia · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Winter Wren Population Trend in Virginia
Winter Wren in Virginia has edged down: down 18% on the route-weighted index since 1983.
-18%Since 1983
10Routes In State
26Years
Notable Winter Wren Trends in Virginia
No notable trend signals for Winter Wren in Virginia. See the full index history below.
Winter Wren Population Forecast in Virginia
If the recent trend holds, Winter Wren in Virginia is projected to stay roughly flat through 2027, near 0.03 (95% range 0.00–0.09). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±74.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2027
0.03Projected 2027 index
0.00–0.0995% range
±74.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2024 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2025 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2026 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| 2027 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.09 |
Winter Wren Survey Routes in Virginia
| Iron Mtn. | 3 | 2010 | 1992 |
| Marion | 1 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Gr North Mtn | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Rural Retrt | 1 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Mountain Lk. | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Shenandoa Np | 1 | 1995 | 1995 |
| Isom | 1 | 1983 | 1983 |
| Big Meadows | 1 | 2006 | 1993 |
| Iron Mountain 2 | 1 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Iron Mountain 3 | 1 | 2022 | 2014 |
Winter Wren Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.