Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Winter Wren Population Trend in Minnesota
Winter Wren in Minnesota has surged: up 444% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
+444%Since 1969
34Routes In State
57Years
Notable Winter Wren Trends in Minnesota
long arc increasecomputed index
Winter Wren has surged in Minnesota: up 444% on the route-weighted index since 1969.
Winter Wren Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Winter Wren in Minnesota is projected to rise about 31% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.0 (95% range 0.95–3.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+31%Change by 2029
2.0Projected 2029 index
0.95–3.195% range
±33.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.9 | 0.85 | 3.0 |
| 2026 | 1.9 | 0.87 | 3.0 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 0.90 | 3.0 |
| 2028 | 2.0 | 0.92 | 3.0 |
| 2029 | 2.0 | 0.95 | 3.1 |
Winter Wren Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Glendale | 16 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Jordan | 12 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Crane Lake | 10 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Lockport | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Hart Lake | 7 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Sawbill Camp | 7 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Hovland | 6 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Bigfork | 6 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Red Lake | 6 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Chisholm | 6 | 2024 | 2019 |
| Sawbill Lndg | 5 | 2024 | 1973 |
| Cromwell | 4 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Cass Lake | 2 | 2014 | 1980 |
| Backus | 2 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Floodwood | 2 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Sherry Lake | 2 | 2022 | 1979 |
| Nett Lake | 2 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Mahtowa | 2 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Babbitt | 2 | 2023 | 1994 |
| Money Creek | 1 | 1975 | 1975 |
| Tamarac Nwr | 1 | 2009 | 1991 |
| Nebish | 1 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Wigwam Bay | 1 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Pine River | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Glyndon | 1 | 2010 | 2010 |
Winter Wren Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.