Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Winter Wren Population Trend in New York
Winter Wren in New York has surged: up 482% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
+482%Since 1968
80Routes In State
58Years
Notable Winter Wren Trends in New York
long arc increasecomputed index
Winter Wren has surged in New York: up 482% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Winter Wren Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, Winter Wren in New York is projected to rise about 72% by 2029 — from 1.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.7 (95% range 0.75–2.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±89.2%, with 60% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+72%Change by 2029
1.7Projected 2029 index
0.75–2.795% range
±89.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.7 | 0.69 | 2.6 |
| 2026 | 1.7 | 0.71 | 2.6 |
| 2027 | 1.7 | 0.72 | 2.7 |
| 2028 | 1.7 | 0.74 | 2.7 |
| 2029 | 1.7 | 0.75 | 2.7 |
Winter Wren Survey Routes in New York
| Inlet | 31 | 2017 | 1979 |
| St Regis Fls | 16 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Old Forge | 14 | 2006 | 1971 |
| Newcomb | 13 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Gabriels | 13 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Old Forge 2 | 13 | 2019 | 2007 |
| Blue Ridge S | 12 | 2010 | 1969 |
| Dexter Lake | 11 | 1975 | 1968 |
| Sabattis | 10 | 1983 | 1966 |
| Parishville | 8 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Horseshoe L. | 8 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Wanakena | 7 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Number Four | 5 | 1998 | 1971 |
| Hope Falls | 5 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Highmarket | 4 | 2024 | 1975 |
| N Wilmurt | 4 | 1998 | 1969 |
| Speculator | 4 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Warrensburg | 4 | 2019 | 1967 |
| Underwood | 4 | 1996 | 1967 |
| Willsboro | 4 | 2024 | 1969 |
| Meridale | 3 | 2024 | 2004 |
| Platte Cove | 3 | 2018 | 1979 |
| Swain | 3 | 2005 | 1971 |
| Mckeever | 3 | 2023 | 1975 |
| Kasoag | 3 | 2010 | 1971 |
Winter Wren Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.