Species · Vermont · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-throated Sparrow Population Trend in Vermont
White-throated Sparrow in Vermont has collapsed: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-81%Since 1968
26Routes In State
58Years
Notable White-throated Sparrow Trends in Vermont
long arc declinecomputed index
White-throated Sparrow has collapsed in Vermont: down 81% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
White-throated Sparrow Population Forecast in Vermont
If the recent trend holds, White-throated Sparrow in Vermont is projected to fall about 46% by 2029 — from 2.6 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.4 (95% range 0.00–5.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±30.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-46%Change by 2029
1.4Projected 2029 index
0.00–5.795% range
±30.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.5 | 0.00 | 6.8 |
| 2026 | 2.3 | 0.00 | 6.5 |
| 2027 | 2.0 | 0.00 | 6.2 |
| 2028 | 1.7 | 0.00 | 5.9 |
| 2029 | 1.4 | 0.00 | 5.7 |
White-throated Sparrow Survey Routes in Vermont
| Newbury 2 | 18 | 2023 | 2005 |
| Waterville | 14 | 1980 | 1967 |
| East Haven | 13 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Newbury | 10 | 2004 | 1986 |
| Hardwick | 9 | 2024 | 1966 |
| St Johnsbury | 7 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Northfld Fls | 7 | 2021 | 1980 |
| Stratton | 4 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Middlesex | 4 | 2024 | 1968 |
| North Pownal | 2 | 2009 | 1966 |
| Landgrove | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| East Calais | 2 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Greensboro | 2 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Stowe | 2 | 2024 | 1988 |
| Marlboro | 1 | 2018 | 1966 |
| S Reading | 1 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Gaysville | 1 | 2021 | 1966 |
| Post Mills | 1 | 2024 | 1966 |
| Shaftsbury | 1 | 2002 | 1966 |
| S Wallingfrd | 1 | 2018 | 1966 |
| W Rutland | 1 | 2006 | 1966 |
| Fletcher | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Hinesburg | 1 | 1994 | 1966 |
| Colchester | 1 | 2016 | 1986 |
| Grand Isle | 1 | 1995 | 1967 |
White-throated Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.