Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
White-throated Sparrow Population Trend in New York
White-throated Sparrow in New York has fallen sharply: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-71%Since 1968
89Routes In State
58Years
Notable White-throated Sparrow Trends in New York
long arc declinecomputed index
White-throated Sparrow has fallen sharply in New York: down 71% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
White-throated Sparrow Population Forecast in New York
If the recent trend holds, White-throated Sparrow in New York is projected to rise about 117% by 2029 — from 1.3 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.33–5.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±146.7%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+117%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.33–5.195% range
±146.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.0 | 0.59 | 5.3 |
| 2026 | 2.9 | 0.53 | 5.3 |
| 2027 | 2.8 | 0.46 | 5.2 |
| 2028 | 2.8 | 0.40 | 5.1 |
| 2029 | 2.7 | 0.33 | 5.1 |
White-throated Sparrow Survey Routes in New York
| Dexter Lake | 59 | 1975 | 1968 |
| Sabattis | 52 | 1983 | 1966 |
| St Regis Fls | 27 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Underwood 2 | 26 | 2009 | 2005 |
| N Wilmurt | 23 | 1998 | 1967 |
| Dannemora | 23 | 2006 | 1968 |
| Blue Ridge S | 22 | 2010 | 1969 |
| Newcomb | 19 | 2022 | 1971 |
| North River | 19 | 2007 | 1966 |
| Horseshoe L. | 17 | 2017 | 1992 |
| Inlet | 16 | 2017 | 1979 |
| Parishville | 16 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Hope Falls | 13 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Ellenburg | 13 | 2006 | 1989 |
| Tupper Lake | 12 | 1976 | 1968 |
| Underwood | 12 | 1996 | 1967 |
| Highmarket | 11 | 2024 | 1967 |
| Degrasse | 11 | 2024 | 1980 |
| Gabriels | 10 | 2024 | 1975 |
| Sciota | 10 | 2006 | 1968 |
| E Newark | 9 | 2008 | 2008 |
| Old Forge | 9 | 2006 | 1971 |
| Mcdonough | 8 | 2017 | 1967 |
| Oxford | 8 | 1976 | 1967 |
| Wanakena | 8 | 2024 | 1980 |
White-throated Sparrow Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.