BirdAnalyst
Species · New Jersey · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery Population Trend in New Jersey

All statesForest birds

Veery in New Jersey has surged: up 872% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+872%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
22Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in New JerseyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Veery has surged in New Jersey: up 872% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Veery Population Forecast in New Jersey

If the recent trend holds, Veery in New Jersey is projected to rise about 71% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 0.95–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+71%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.1Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.95–3.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±45.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in New Jersey is projected to rise about 71% by 2029 — from 1.2 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.1 (95% range 0.95–3.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.00.863.2
20262.00.883.2
20272.10.913.2
20282.10.933.3
20292.10.953.3

Veery Survey Routes in New Jersey

Routes recording Veery in New Jersey.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
High Point2320241977
Roosevelt320171990
Sandbrook220031970
Holmansville220091975
Hope219941988
Midvale220221970
Kemah Lake220241980
Dover220231977
Woodbury Hgt120072007
Toms River119671967
New Bedford119941979
Croton120031974
Robbinsville119701969
Bloomsbury120161973
Pottersville120231978
Gillette120241988
Cranbury120131988
Pomona119881988
Spraguetown119771977
Winslow119951994
Croton 2120232008
Ramseysburg120161999

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.