BirdAnalyst
Species · Minnesota · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Veery Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesForest birds

Veery in Minnesota has held roughly steady: up 9% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+9%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in MinnesotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Minnesota. See the full index history below.

Veery Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Minnesota is projected to fall about 31% by 2030 — from 12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.1 (95% range 2.9–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-31%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
8.1Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.9–1395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±48%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Minnesota is projected to fall about 31% by 2030 — from 12 in 2025 to a central estimate of 8.1 (95% range 2.9–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48%, with 0% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20268.43.114
20278.33.114
20288.23.013
20298.23.013
20308.12.913

Veery Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Veery in Minnesota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sherry Lake7620221969
Hart Lake5320251967
Backus4920251967
Glendale4620251993
Bemidji4419801967
Crane Lake4120251969
Waskish4020251978
Mahtowa4020231993
Tamarac Nwr3820241991
Pine River3620251967
Bena3419771967
Wigwam Bay3320231967
Nett Lake3220242013
Mille Lacs2920241967
Chisholm2920242019
Hovland2720251973
Mcgregor2720251993
Cromwell2620251967
Brook Park2620251998
Bigfork2620251993
Red Lake2620251993
Nebish2520251982
Little Fork2420241969
Bagley2420061995
Debs2320251969

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.