BirdAnalyst
Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesForest birds

Veery in Minnesota has edged up: up 12% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+12%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
64Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in MinnesotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Minnesota. See the full index history below.

Veery Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Minnesota is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.9 (95% range 2.7–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-45%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
7.9Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
2.7–1395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±48.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Minnesota is projected to fall about 45% by 2029 — from 14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 7.9 (95% range 2.7–13). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±48.9%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20258.23.013
20268.12.913
20278.02.913
20288.02.813
20297.92.713

Veery Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Veery in Minnesota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Sherry Lake7620221969
Glendale6820241993
Crane Lake6620241969
Hart Lake5520241967
Waskish4820241978
Backus4620241967
Bigfork4620241993
Bemidji4419801967
Mahtowa4020231993
Red Lake3920241993
Tamarac Nwr3820241991
Lockport3620241967
Bena3419771967
Wigwam Bay3320231967
Brook Park3320241998
Babbitt3320231994
Nett Lake3220242013
Mille Lacs2920241967
Chisholm2920242019
Lude2620231978
Pine River2520241967
Little Fork2420241969
Bagley2420061995
Floodwood2220241967
Sherburne Nr2120241990

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.