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Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery Population Trend in Michigan

All statesForest birds

Veery in Michigan has edged down: down 10% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-10%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
101Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in MichiganNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Michigan. See the full index history below.

Veery Population Forecast in Michigan

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Michigan is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.69–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-26%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.69–3.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±13%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Michigan is projected to fall about 26% by 2029 — from 3.0 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.2 (95% range 0.69–3.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±13%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20252.30.793.8
20262.30.763.8
20272.30.743.8
20282.20.713.8
20292.20.693.7

Veery Survey Routes in Michigan

Routes recording Veery in Michigan.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Marenisco1920191981
Brush Creek1620161975
Pine River1520211992
Tahquamenon1420241974
Brocky Lake1320241980
Raco1220241971
Sidnaw1120241993
Bergland1020221979
No Bradley1020241970
Ned Lake920241986
Gilchrist920211974
Maple Grove820241967
Cathro820161967
Ensign720102006
Big Island Lake720102008
Ontonagon620191967
Imp Lake620191995
Gibbs City520241979
Nashville520241971
Monterey520241979
Pickford520241973
Frederic520011971
Walloon Lake 2520242005
Chippewa Lk.520241992
Hiawatha Nf520241992

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsminnesotamontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.