BirdAnalyst
Species · Michigan · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Veery Population Trend in Michigan

All statesForest birds

Veery in Michigan has held roughly steady: up 3% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+3%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
101Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in MichiganNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in Michigan. See the full index history below.

Veery Population Forecast in Michigan

If the recent trend holds, Veery in Michigan is projected to fall about 35% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.74–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-35%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
2.3Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.74–3.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±20.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in Michigan is projected to fall about 35% by 2030 — from 3.5 in 2025 to a central estimate of 2.3 (95% range 0.74–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±20.4%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20262.40.833.9
20272.40.813.9
20282.30.793.9
20292.30.763.9
20302.30.743.8

Veery Survey Routes in Michigan

Routes recording Veery in Michigan.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Marenisco1920191981
Pickford1820251973
Brush Creek1620161975
Pine River1520211992
Maple Grove1320251967
Tahquamenon1120251974
Raco1120251971
Chippewa Lk.1120251992
Sidnaw1120251993
Bergland1020221979
Monterey1020251979
Brocky Lake920251980
Gilchrist920211974
Ishpeming820251980
No Bradley820251970
Cathro820161967
Gibbs City720251979
Ensign720102006
Big Island Lake720102008
Ontonagon620191967
Ned Lake620251986
Imp Lake620191995
Frederic520011971
Walloon Lake 2520242005
Allegan Wma520191993

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsminnesotamontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.