BirdAnalyst
Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery Population Trend in North Carolina

All statesForest birds

Veery in North Carolina has surged: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

+162%Since 1977TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
14Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
41YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in North CarolinaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Veery has surged in North Carolina: up 162% on the route-weighted index since 1977.

Veery Population Forecast in North Carolina

If the recent trend holds, Veery in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.4 (95% range 0.71–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+4%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.4Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.71–2.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±21.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in North Carolina is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 1.4 (95% range 0.71–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±21.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19692029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.30.672.0
20261.40.682.0
20271.40.692.0
20281.40.702.0
20291.40.712.1

Veery Survey Routes in North Carolina

Routes recording Veery in North Carolina.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Linville3820241976
Kyle2920241994
Cherokee1620242011
N. Mills Riv1019951994
French Broad River920242001
Busick820021994
Highlands220172004
Andrews219981994
Todd120081998
Waterville120241998
Pinelog120042002
Fontana119691969
Oteen119881987
Murphy120141998

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.