BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Veery Population Trend in New York

All statesForest birds

Veery in New York has declined: down 37% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-37%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
126Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
59YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in New York. See the full index history below.

Veery Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Veery in New York is projected to fall about 28% by 2030 — from 5.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 1.6–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-28%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
3.6Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
1.6–5.695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±22.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in New York is projected to fall about 28% by 2030 — from 5.0 in 2025 to a central estimate of 3.6 (95% range 1.6–5.6). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±22.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20263.91.95.9
20273.81.85.8
20283.81.75.8
20293.71.75.7
20303.61.65.6

Veery Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Veery in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Dexter Lake3319751968
Alder Creek2320041968
Sabattis2119831966
Downsville1920191982
Highmarket1720251967
N Wilmurt1719981967
S Berne 21720252014
Oneonta1520251968
Coventryvile1420231967
Oxford1419761967
Pulaski1420251967
Austerlitz1320251966
Kasoag1320251966
Hope Falls1319951968
Degrasse1320251980
Meridale1220251967
Petersburg1120181966
Argyle1120241969
Parishville1120251968
West Bangor1119991990
Balmat1120081977
Cooperstown1019771968
S Berne1020131967
Corbettsvile1020251966
Oneida1020101968

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.