BirdAnalyst
Species · North Dakota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Veery Population Trend in North Dakota

All statesForest birds

Veery in North Dakota has held roughly steady: up 9% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+9%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
9Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Veery Trends in North DakotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Veery in North Dakota. See the full index history below.

Veery Population Forecast in North Dakota

If the recent trend holds, Veery in North Dakota is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.06–0.62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.34Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.06–0.6295% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±47.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Veery in North Dakota is projected to fall about 16% by 2029 — from 0.41 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.34 (95% range 0.06–0.62). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±47.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.330.050.61
20260.340.050.62
20270.340.060.62
20280.340.060.62
20290.340.060.62

Veery Survey Routes in North Dakota

Routes recording Veery in North Dakota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Turtle Mtns820241980
Carpio220231967
Denbigh220241968
Kempton120121980
Emerado120241980
Cooperstown120071969
Douglas Crk119851985
Dickinson119801980
Stanley120231967

Veery Population Trend in Other States

alabamaalaskacoloradoconnecticutdelawaregeorgiaidahoillinoisindianakentuckymainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananebraskanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatennesseeutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.