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Species · Texas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Texas

All statesGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Texas has surged: up 742% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+742%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
32Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Ring-necked Pheasant Trends in TexasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Ring-necked Pheasant has surged in Texas: up 742% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Forecast in Texas

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Texas is projected to rise about 164% by 2029 — from 0.44 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.02–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±134.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+164%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
1.2Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.02–2.395% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±134.8%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Texas is projected to rise about 164% by 2029 — from 0.44 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.2 (95% range 0.02–2.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±134.8%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20251.10.002.3
20261.10.002.3
20271.10.002.3
20281.20.012.3
20291.20.022.3

Ring-necked Pheasant Survey Routes in Texas

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Texas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Claytonville2820221995
Waka1720241975
Booker1620241978
Texline1320241975
Childress1219941994
Dalhart1020241994
Friona920242001
Twichell820231996
Circle420191973
Katy319741974
Rock Island320041978
Plains320171993
Winnie219881984
Stowell219901973
Gainesville220072004
Pantex220091983
Lakeview220191995
Panhandle220181994
Cactus220241994
Encinal119871986
Indianola119821982
Post120082007
Channing120171967
Miami120081991
Floydada120232003

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotautahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.