BirdAnalyst
Species · New York · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in New York

All statesGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in New York has collapsed: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-99%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
97Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Ring-necked Pheasant Trends in New YorkNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Ring-necked Pheasant has collapsed in New York: down 99% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Forecast in New York

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2078.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–1.895% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±2078.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in New York is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.00 (95% range 0.00–1.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±2078.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.000.001.8
20260.000.001.8
20270.000.001.8
20280.000.001.8
20290.000.001.8

Ring-necked Pheasant Survey Routes in New York

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in New York.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Cherry Hill1120101971
Cayuga519961969
N Victory519721967
Romulus420001968
St Johnsburg420191967
E Youngstown420231966
Watertown320091967
Oneida319921969
Westbrookvle219791971
Austerlitz219901966
Whitney Pt220081970
Oxford219761967
Rushville220111968
Nashville220021967
Pulaski219811968
Clinton220081969
Milford220071990
Purdy219911980
Westhampton120001967
Manorville120051966
Huntington119961966
Jones Beach119671967
Hauppauge119901966
Bedford119931967
Somers119771970

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.