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Species · Missouri · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Missouri

All statesGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Missouri has collapsed: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

-76%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
29Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Ring-necked Pheasant Trends in MissouriNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Ring-necked Pheasant has collapsed in Missouri: down 76% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Forecast in Missouri

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Missouri is projected to rise about 613% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.64 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±541.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

+613%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.64Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–2.195% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±541.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Missouri is projected to rise about 613% by 2029 — from 0.09 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.64 (95% range 0.00–2.1). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±541.6%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.710.002.2
20260.700.002.1
20270.680.002.1
20280.660.002.1
20290.640.002.1

Ring-necked Pheasant Survey Routes in Missouri

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Missouri.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Elmo1120232016
Bolckow1019921967
Barnard520221999
Tarkio519891968
Rockingham419951994
Kirksville420231994
Rensselaer319971997
Sticklervill320181982
Watson220241991
Madison220241975
Kahoka219981980
Mcfall220241994
New Point220231994
Frankford220072005
Deventer119941994
Norborne120232006
Cameron120181986
Kahoka2120232002
New Hampton120212015
Lucerne120212018
Luray120212017
Filley119821982
Ohio119741973
Stet119921972
Frazier120151967

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.