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Species · Michigan · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Michigan

All statesGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Michigan has collapsed: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

-97%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
69Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
58YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Ring-necked Pheasant Trends in MichiganNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc declinecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Ring-necked Pheasant has collapsed in Michigan: down 97% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Forecast in Michigan

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Michigan is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±197.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-100%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.00Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.00–4.795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±197.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Michigan is projected to fall about 100% by 2029 — from 0.30 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.00 (95% range 0.00–4.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±197.9%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.000.004.7
20260.000.004.7
20270.000.004.7
20280.000.004.7
20290.000.004.7

Ring-necked Pheasant Survey Routes in Michigan

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Michigan.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Owendale4019941978
Tyre3319961967
North Branch2019991974
Pettysville1419791969
Hamburg1020011981
Drayton Plns1019871973
S Lyons919921966
Hamtramck719841978
Adair619951974
Wilson520102002
Belding520031985
Adrian520181966
Hungerford420061991
Lake City420091970
St Charles420101967
Allegan Wma320171993
Bell Oak 2320232016
Hartland319981992
Ola320241974
Hubbard Lake319961973
Deckerville320241978
Cohoctah320242021
Belding 2220122004
New Buffalo220141992
Cunard220211982

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsminnesotamissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.