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Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Minnesota

All statesGrassland birds

Ring-necked Pheasant in Minnesota has increased: up 40% on the route-weighted index since 1969.

+40%Since 1969TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
66Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
57YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Ring-necked Pheasant Trends in MinnesotaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Ring-necked Pheasant in Minnesota. See the full index history below.

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Forecast in Minnesota

If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Minnesota is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 5.0–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
11Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
5.0–1695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±8.1%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Ring-necked Pheasant in Minnesota is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 13 in 2024 to a central estimate of 11 (95% range 5.0–16). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±8.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
2025104.916
2026104.916
2027114.916
2028115.016
2029115.016

Ring-necked Pheasant Survey Routes in Minnesota

Routes recording Ring-necked Pheasant in Minnesota.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Tracy10920242004
Chandler5720231969
Glenwood5620191993
Chokio North5320241993
Chokio4620241970
New London4320241994
Redwood Fall4220241978
Worthington4220242004
Appleton3820241978
Knapp3720241967
Franklin3720241994
Princeton3420241969
Ash Creek3320241975
Fairmont3320231993
Caledonia 23220242013
Chatfield 23020242003
Ashby2720211997
Huntley2620241968
Austin2520231993
Big Stone2020121995
Maynard1920151967
Arlington1720241967
Tenney1720161978
Tyler1720241993
Gluek1520191967

Ring-necked Pheasant Population Trend in Other States

alaskaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawareidahoillinoisindianaiowakansasmainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganmissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.