Species · Wisconsin · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Northern Harrier Population Trend in Wisconsin
Northern Harrier in Wisconsin has fallen sharply: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-52%Since 1968
83Routes In State
58Years
Notable Northern Harrier Trends in Wisconsin
long arc declinecomputed index
Northern Harrier has fallen sharply in Wisconsin: down 52% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Northern Harrier Population Forecast in Wisconsin
If the recent trend holds, Northern Harrier in Wisconsin is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.25 (95% range 0.05–0.45). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±199.2%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
n/aChange by 2029
0.25Projected 2029 index
0.05–0.4595% range
±199.2%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.26 | 0.06 | 0.45 |
| 2026 | 0.25 | 0.06 | 0.45 |
| 2027 | 0.25 | 0.06 | 0.45 |
| 2028 | 0.25 | 0.06 | 0.45 |
| 2029 | 0.25 | 0.05 | 0.45 |
Northern Harrier Survey Routes in Wisconsin
| Bayfield | 2 | 2019 | 1978 |
| Dresser | 2 | 2022 | 1966 |
| Loraine | 2 | 2018 | 1966 |
| Phillips | 2 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Merrill | 2 | 2023 | 1969 |
| Rolling Pr | 2 | 2017 | 1966 |
| Raymond | 2 | 1980 | 1980 |
| Meridean | 2 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Buena Vista | 2 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Annaton | 2 | 2021 | 2003 |
| Chaffey | 1 | 1995 | 1968 |
| Iron River | 1 | 2016 | 1967 |
| Minong | 1 | 2018 | 1969 |
| Shanagolden | 1 | 1979 | 1972 |
| Hudson | 1 | 2023 | 1967 |
| Union Twp | 1 | 1986 | 1986 |
| Cumberland | 1 | 2014 | 1966 |
| Weyerhauser | 1 | 2022 | 1967 |
| Couderay | 1 | 2001 | 1975 |
| Exeland | 1 | 2022 | 1971 |
| Gilman | 1 | 2017 | 1976 |
| Holway | 1 | 1988 | 1968 |
| Rib Lake | 1 | 2021 | 1975 |
| Irma | 1 | 2022 | 1969 |
| Mcnaughton | 1 | 1992 | 1992 |
Northern Harrier Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.