Species · Oregon · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Nashville Warbler Population Trend in Oregon
Nashville Warbler in Oregon has surged: up 351% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
+351%Since 1970
63Routes In State
56Years
Notable Nashville Warbler Trends in Oregon
long arc increasecomputed index
Nashville Warbler has surged in Oregon: up 351% on the route-weighted index since 1970.
Nashville Warbler Population Forecast in Oregon
If the recent trend holds, Nashville Warbler in Oregon is projected to rise about 71% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.5 (95% range 1.3–3.8). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±55.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+71%Change by 2029
2.5Projected 2029 index
1.3–3.895% range
±55.9%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.4 | 1.2 | 3.7 |
| 2026 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| 2027 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| 2028 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 3.8 |
| 2029 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 3.8 |
Nashville Warbler Survey Routes in Oregon
| Clearwater | 39 | 2021 | 1991 |
| Selma | 31 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Ruch | 20 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Prospect | 19 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Cinderella | 17 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Secret Val | 16 | 2022 | 1975 |
| Days Creek | 15 | 2024 | 1971 |
| Badger Creek | 12 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Wizard Falls | 11 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Whiskey Spg. | 10 | 2022 | 1992 |
| Sams Valley | 10 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Molalla | 9 | 2021 | 2021 |
| Derby | 9 | 1993 | 1978 |
| Camp Sherman | 7 | 1994 | 1972 |
| Mt Hood | 4 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Hells Canyon | 4 | 2022 | 1998 |
| Warner Mtn. | 4 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Elkton | 3 | 1991 | 1973 |
| Ochoco | 3 | 2024 | 1993 |
| Donelly 2 | 3 | 2022 | 2021 |
| Imnaha | 2 | 1973 | 1973 |
| Summit Pr | 2 | 2024 | 1986 |
| Cool Camp | 2 | 2010 | 1968 |
| Lapham Res. | 2 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Winberry | 2 | 2023 | 1972 |
Nashville Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.