Species · Maine · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Nashville Warbler Population Trend in Maine
Nashville Warbler in Maine has fallen sharply: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
-66%Since 1968
76Routes In State
58Years
Notable Nashville Warbler Trends in Maine
long arc declinecomputed index
Nashville Warbler has fallen sharply in Maine: down 66% on the route-weighted index since 1968.
Nashville Warbler Population Forecast in Maine
If the recent trend holds, Nashville Warbler in Maine is projected to rise about 242% by 2029 — from 0.79 in 2024 to a central estimate of 2.7 (95% range 0.00–7.7). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±211.5%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+242%Change by 2029
2.7Projected 2029 index
0.00–7.795% range
±211.5%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2.9 | 0.00 | 7.9 |
| 2026 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 7.8 |
| 2027 | 2.8 | 0.00 | 7.8 |
| 2028 | 2.7 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
| 2029 | 2.7 | 0.00 | 7.7 |
Nashville Warbler Survey Routes in Maine
| Northfield | 77 | 1981 | 1976 |
| Pillsbury Pd | 22 | 1968 | 1968 |
| Big Twenty 2 | 22 | 2009 | 2009 |
| Heron Lake | 19 | 2003 | 1983 |
| Big Twenty | 18 | 2008 | 1993 |
| Forest Sta | 16 | 2000 | 1966 |
| Topsfield | 15 | 1996 | 1978 |
| Telos | 13 | 2004 | 1995 |
| Waite | 11 | 1977 | 1977 |
| Seboomook Lk | 10 | 2014 | 1978 |
| Grnd Lk Strm | 10 | 2000 | 1966 |
| Nesowadnehun | 10 | 2021 | 1990 |
| Ashland | 9 | 2008 | 1980 |
| Yankeetuladi | 9 | 2009 | 1994 |
| Warren | 8 | 1990 | 1973 |
| Weeks Brook | 8 | 2016 | 1995 |
| Baker Lake | 8 | 2009 | 1994 |
| Deblois | 7 | 2007 | 1966 |
| Brooks | 6 | 2019 | 1977 |
| Cooper | 6 | 2021 | 1975 |
| Charleston | 6 | 2019 | 1977 |
| Hudson | 6 | 2009 | 1974 |
| Ludlow | 6 | 1998 | 1968 |
| Horse Mtn | 6 | 2011 | 1983 |
| Wilson Mills | 5 | 2024 | 1983 |
Nashville Warbler Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.