Species · Alaska · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Hammond's Flycatcher Population Trend in Alaska
Hammond's Flycatcher in Alaska has surged: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1987.
+134%Since 1987
44Routes In State
39Years
Notable Hammond's Flycatcher Trends in Alaska
long arc increasecomputed index
Hammond's Flycatcher has surged in Alaska: up 134% on the route-weighted index since 1987.
Hammond's Flycatcher Population Forecast in Alaska
If the recent trend holds, Hammond's Flycatcher in Alaska is projected to rise about 35% by 2029 — from 0.84 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.1 (95% range 0.40–1.9). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±45.1%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+35%Change by 2029
1.1Projected 2029 index
0.40–1.995% range
±45.1%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.1 | 0.36 | 1.8 |
| 2026 | 1.1 | 0.37 | 1.8 |
| 2027 | 1.1 | 0.38 | 1.8 |
| 2028 | 1.1 | 0.39 | 1.9 |
| 2029 | 1.1 | 0.40 | 1.9 |
Hammond's Flycatcher Survey Routes in Alaska
| Chicken | 13 | 2024 | 1992 |
| Chena River | 11 | 1988 | 1988 |
| Kenny Lake | 10 | 2024 | 2015 |
| Haines | 9 | 2024 | 1989 |
| Hyder | 8 | 2009 | 2003 |
| Chena Hot Spring 2 | 7 | 2024 | 1999 |
| Eagle | 5 | 2024 | 1991 |
| L Salcha | 5 | 2023 | 1986 |
| Hather Creek | 4 | 2013 | 2000 |
| Kanuti Canyn | 4 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Circle | 3 | 2024 | 1987 |
| Livengood | 3 | 2019 | 2015 |
| Chatanika R | 2 | 2023 | 1992 |
| Northway | 2 | 2023 | 2023 |
| Toklat | 2 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Donelly Dome | 2 | 2018 | 2002 |
| Mcgrath | 2 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Manley Ht Sp | 2 | 2021 | 1993 |
| Murphy Dome | 2 | 2024 | 1994 |
| Zimovia Strt | 2 | 2015 | 1989 |
| Birch Lake | 1 | 2024 | 1968 |
| Nabesna Road | 1 | 2003 | 2003 |
| Kuskulana | 1 | 2024 | 2018 |
| Tower Bluffs | 1 | 2023 | 1997 |
| Mccarthy Rd2 | 1 | 2023 | 1997 |
Hammond's Flycatcher Population Trend in Other States
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.