Species · Tennessee · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in Tennessee
Double-crested Cormorant in Tennessee has surged: up 431% on the route-weighted index since 1997.
+431%Since 1997
19Routes In State
26Years
Notable Double-crested Cormorant Trends in Tennessee
long arc increasecomputed index
Double-crested Cormorant has surged in Tennessee: up 431% on the route-weighted index since 1997.
Double-crested Cormorant Population Forecast in Tennessee
If the recent trend holds, Double-crested Cormorant in Tennessee is projected to fall about 11% by 2029 — from 0.82 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.72 (95% range 0.14–1.3). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±89.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
-11%Change by 2029
0.72Projected 2029 index
0.14–1.395% range
±89.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.64 | 0.05 | 1.2 |
| 2026 | 0.66 | 0.08 | 1.2 |
| 2027 | 0.68 | 0.10 | 1.3 |
| 2028 | 0.70 | 0.12 | 1.3 |
| 2029 | 0.72 | 0.14 | 1.3 |
Double-crested Cormorant Survey Routes in Tennessee
| Pawpaw 2 | 10 | 2019 | 2013 |
| Big Sandy | 8 | 2024 | 2013 |
| Peytonsville | 7 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Tiptonville | 3 | 2021 | 1991 |
| Brownsville | 3 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Signal Mtn | 2 | 2024 | 1997 |
| Tullahoma | 2 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Pawpaw | 1 | 2011 | 1995 |
| Silerton | 1 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Humboldt | 1 | 2022 | 2008 |
| Pond Creek | 1 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Lewis Forest | 1 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Belotes Bend | 1 | 2016 | 1999 |
| Jasper | 1 | 2018 | 2018 |
| Lovell | 1 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Corryton Rd | 1 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Jefferson Cty | 1 | 2006 | 2006 |
| Mt Olive | 1 | 2017 | 2010 |
| Allens Brdge | 1 | 2022 | 2022 |
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in Other States
alabamaalaskaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming
Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.