Species · North Carolina · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in North Carolina
Double-crested Cormorant in North Carolina has surged: up 147% on the route-weighted index since 1979.
+147%Since 1979
40Routes In State
45Years
Notable Double-crested Cormorant Trends in North Carolina
long arc increasecomputed index
Double-crested Cormorant has surged in North Carolina: up 147% on the route-weighted index since 1979.
Double-crested Cormorant Population Forecast in North Carolina
If the recent trend holds, Double-crested Cormorant in North Carolina is projected to rise about 414% by 2029 — from 0.06 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.29 (95% range 0.00–1.0). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±123.7%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+414%Change by 2029
0.29Projected 2029 index
0.00–1.095% range
±123.7%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2026 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2027 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2028 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
| 2029 | 0.29 | 0.00 | 1.0 |
Double-crested Cormorant Survey Routes in North Carolina
| Maple Hill | 27 | 2023 | 2017 |
| Washington | 16 | 2021 | 2006 |
| Hertford | 12 | 2013 | 2013 |
| Supply | 11 | 2021 | 1994 |
| Mashoes | 8 | 1982 | 1982 |
| Kinston | 7 | 2016 | 1984 |
| Sawmill | 6 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Dortches | 5 | 2015 | 2015 |
| Jarvisburg | 5 | 1999 | 1999 |
| Merrimon | 4 | 2021 | 1979 |
| Old Trap | 3 | 2017 | 2016 |
| Myrtle Grove | 2 | 2024 | 1970 |
| Speed | 2 | 2013 | 1992 |
| Arcola | 2 | 2022 | 1982 |
| Osmond | 2 | 2002 | 2002 |
| Jamesville | 2 | 2015 | 1983 |
| Waco | 2 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Shallotte | 1 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Wards Corner | 1 | 2016 | 2016 |
| Broad Creek | 1 | 2022 | 2000 |
| Rose | 1 | 2000 | 1997 |
| Climax | 1 | 2018 | 2017 |
| Mooresville | 1 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Spring Hope | 1 | 2023 | 2005 |
| California | 1 | 2013 | 1983 |
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.