Species · Minnesota · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in Minnesota
Double-crested Cormorant in Minnesota has surged: up 241% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
+241%Since 1975
54Routes In State
50Years
Notable Double-crested Cormorant Trends in Minnesota
long arc increasecomputed index
Double-crested Cormorant has surged in Minnesota: up 241% on the route-weighted index since 1975.
Double-crested Cormorant Population Forecast in Minnesota
If the recent trend holds, Double-crested Cormorant in Minnesota is projected to rise about 15× by 2029 — from 0.11 in 2024 to a central estimate of 1.6 (95% range 0.00–3.5). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±994.8%, with 40% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
15×Change by 2029
1.6Projected 2029 index
0.00–3.595% range
±994.8%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2026 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2027 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2028 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
| 2029 | 1.6 | 0.00 | 3.5 |
Double-crested Cormorant Survey Routes in Minnesota
| Big Stone | 41 | 2012 | 1995 |
| Hart Lake | 38 | 1997 | 1995 |
| Worthington | 28 | 2022 | 2004 |
| Mcgregor | 24 | 1993 | 1993 |
| Pine River | 22 | 1991 | 1990 |
| Evergreen | 13 | 2005 | 1985 |
| Wylie | 12 | 1998 | 1998 |
| Le Center | 7 | 2023 | 1993 |
| Princeton | 6 | 2013 | 2003 |
| Glenwood | 6 | 2019 | 1993 |
| Cromwell | 5 | 2001 | 2001 |
| Millville | 4 | 1997 | 1997 |
| Dawson | 4 | 2019 | 1982 |
| Sherburne Nr | 3 | 2023 | 1990 |
| Ash Creek | 3 | 2013 | 1990 |
| Gluek | 3 | 2019 | 1973 |
| Edwards | 3 | 2023 | 1984 |
| Glyndon | 3 | 2023 | 1978 |
| Tenney | 3 | 2016 | 1978 |
| Nett Lake | 3 | 2016 | 2016 |
| New London | 3 | 2012 | 1994 |
| Chokio North | 3 | 2024 | 2005 |
| Cass Lake | 3 | 1990 | 1990 |
| Osseo | 2 | 2017 | 1981 |
| Chokio | 2 | 2024 | 1978 |
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.