Species · California · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in California
Double-crested Cormorant in California has risen sharply: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
+69%Since 1974
73Routes In State
52Years
Notable Double-crested Cormorant Trends in California
long arc increasecomputed index
Double-crested Cormorant has risen sharply in California: up 69% on the route-weighted index since 1974.
Double-crested Cormorant Population Forecast in California
If the recent trend holds, Double-crested Cormorant in California is projected to rise about 113% by 2029 — from 1.5 in 2024 to a central estimate of 3.2 (95% range 0.26–6.2). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±3169.6%, with 20% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.
+113%Change by 2029
3.2Projected 2029 index
0.26–6.295% range
±3169.6%Backtest error
| Year | Projected index | 95% low | 95% high |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3.1 | 0.14 | 6.0 |
| 2026 | 3.1 | 0.17 | 6.1 |
| 2027 | 3.1 | 0.20 | 6.1 |
| 2028 | 3.2 | 0.23 | 6.1 |
| 2029 | 3.2 | 0.26 | 6.2 |
Double-crested Cormorant Survey Routes in California
| Dorris | 72 | 2019 | 1972 |
| Cedarville | 60 | 2024 | 2024 |
| Fairfax | 32 | 2024 | 1972 |
| Iron Gate | 27 | 2019 | 1988 |
| Arvin | 27 | 2021 | 2013 |
| Hughson | 18 | 2024 | 2000 |
| Hat Creek | 12 | 1987 | 1987 |
| Westley | 10 | 2024 | 1996 |
| Eagle Lake | 8 | 2007 | 2002 |
| Honeydew | 7 | 2016 | 1977 |
| Hollister | 7 | 2007 | 1995 |
| Staten Is. | 7 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Creston | 6 | 2014 | 2014 |
| Moraga | 5 | 2024 | 1998 |
| Ingalls | 5 | 1998 | 1974 |
| Likely | 4 | 2015 | 1978 |
| Genesee | 4 | 2015 | 2008 |
| Downieville | 4 | 2007 | 2007 |
| Oneals | 4 | 2000 | 2000 |
| Point Reyes | 4 | 2008 | 2007 |
| Niland | 4 | 2024 | 1979 |
| Mesa Grande | 4 | 2010 | 2010 |
| Buena Vista | 4 | 2019 | 2019 |
| Nubieber | 3 | 1993 | 1977 |
| Red Bluff | 3 | 2003 | 1987 |
Double-crested Cormorant Population Trend in Other States
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Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.