BirdAnalyst
Species · Tennessee · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Tennessee

All statesBirds of prey

Cooper's Hawk in Tennessee has surged: up 568% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+568%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
41Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
51YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cooper's Hawk Trends in TennesseeNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cooper's Hawk in Tennessee. See the full index history below.

Cooper's Hawk Population Forecast in Tennessee

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Tennessee is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.27 (95% range 0.14–0.40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-9%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.27Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.14–0.4095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±25.4%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Tennessee is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.27 (95% range 0.14–0.40). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±25.4%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.250.130.38
20270.260.130.39
20280.260.140.39
20290.270.140.40
20300.270.140.40

Cooper's Hawk Survey Routes in Tennessee

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Tennessee.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Whiteville420142008
Mansfield220251966
Trenton220222001
Humboldt220252022
Petersburg220082008
Lovell220191968
Signal Mtn120222006
Tiptonville120242007
Jones Gap120152015
Moscow120232012
Brownsville120242013
Tibbs120221968
Big Sandy120231982
Sweetlips120111999
Silerton120221994
Pond Creek120191967
Indian Mound119781978
Collinwood120251993
Wrigley120151996
Campbellsville120121997
Lewis Forest119841976
Belotes Bend120101991
White House120191969
Peytonsville120251971
Bradyville120172001

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.