BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesGeneralists

Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas has surged: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+186%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
44YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cooper's Hawk Trends in ArkansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cooper's Hawk has surged in Arkansas: up 186% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

Cooper's Hawk Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.03–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-19%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.12Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–0.2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±39.6%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas is projected to fall about 19% by 2029 — from 0.14 in 2024 to a central estimate of 0.12 (95% range 0.03–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±39.6%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.110.030.20
20260.110.030.20
20270.110.030.20
20280.120.030.20
20290.120.030.20

Cooper's Hawk Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Centerton320242010
South Bend220191971
Rupert219731970
Fulton219771977
Havana220192019
Eudora120162008
Ramsey119671967
Locust Bayou119821981
Stamps120221997
Hope119841984
Ashdown120111991
Hughes120172017
Magazine Mtn120121994
Four Lakes120011995
Poyen120031991
Blakely119801980
Waldron119971968
Harrisburg120091976
Saffell120192002
Stark120231974
Coal Hill120231982
Lurton120172017
Massard120211999
Maynard119901990
Zion120212021

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.