BirdAnalyst
Species · Arkansas · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Arkansas

All statesBirds of prey

Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas has surged: up 144% on the route-weighted index since 1970.

+144%Since 1970TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
31Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
45YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cooper's Hawk Trends in ArkansasNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

No notable trend signals for Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas. See the full index history below.

Cooper's Hawk Population Forecast in Arkansas

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.11 (95% range 0.03–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

n/aChange by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.11Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.03–0.2095% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±81.7%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas is projected to stay roughly flat through 2030, near 0.11 (95% range 0.03–0.20). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±81.7%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19672030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.110.020.19
20270.110.020.19
20280.110.020.20
20290.110.020.20
20300.110.030.20

Cooper's Hawk Survey Routes in Arkansas

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Arkansas.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Centerton320242010
South Bend220191971
Rupert219731970
Fulton219771977
Havana220192019
Eudora120162008
Ramsey119671967
Locust Bayou119821981
Stamps120221997
Hope119841984
Ashdown120111991
Hughes120172017
Magazine Mtn120121994
Four Lakes120011995
Poyen120031991
Blakely119801980
Waldron119971968
Harrisburg120091976
Saffell120192002
Stark120231974
Coal Hill120231982
Lurton120172017
Massard120211999
Maynard119901990
Zion120252021

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonacaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.