BirdAnalyst
Species · Kentucky · BBS 2026 Release · 1966–2025

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Kentucky

All statesBirds of prey

Cooper's Hawk in Kentucky has surged: up 286% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

+286%Since 1968TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
48Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
56YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cooper's Hawk Trends in KentuckyNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cooper's Hawk has surged in Kentucky: up 286% on the route-weighted index since 1968.

Cooper's Hawk Population Forecast in Kentucky

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Kentucky is projected to fall about 16% by 2030 — from 0.36 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.15–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-16%Change by 2030TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.30Projected 2030 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.15–0.4695% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±86.9%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Kentucky is projected to fall about 16% by 2030 — from 0.36 in 2025 to a central estimate of 0.30 (95% range 0.15–0.46). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±86.9%, with 80% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19662030
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20260.290.130.45
20270.290.140.45
20280.300.140.45
20290.300.140.46
20300.300.150.46

Cooper's Hawk Survey Routes in Kentucky

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Kentucky.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Carter320251979
Sewell Shop320221982
Dixon220222008
Pleasurevill220251984
Hodgenville220001986
Merrimac220231981
Eastview220181975
Bays Fork220181999
Campton220122009
Cumberlnd Gp119671967
Lovelacevile120151980
Shiloh120251970
Canton120241970
Keysburg120121977
Cedar Grove120181981
Riverqueen120252009
Sulphur Lick120191966
Hegira120071994
Sunnybrook120212000
Monticello120122005
Bardwell119901976
Apex120242010
Kehoe 2120082008
Levee119741969
Kings Mtn120101986

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaslouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooklahomaoregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-08-14.