BirdAnalyst
Species · Oklahoma · BBS 2025 Release · 1966–2024

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Oklahoma

All statesGeneralists

Cooper's Hawk in Oklahoma has surged: up 117% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

+117%Since 1973TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
46Routes In StateSurvey routesHow many standard-protocol BBS routes contributed counts. More routes means a steadier, better-sampled index; very thin coverage is suppressed.Full methodology →
42YearsYears surveyedNumber of years with at least one standard-protocol run in this geography. A longer record makes the trend more reliable.Full methodology →

Notable Cooper's Hawk Trends in OklahomaNotable signalsLong-arc shifts the engine flags automatically — sustained declines or increases large enough to stand out from year-to-year noise.Full methodology →

long arc increasecomputed indexTrend sourceWhether the figure is our own computed route-weighted index or an official USGS modeled estimate. The current build labels every trend as computed.Full methodology →

Cooper's Hawk has surged in Oklahoma: up 117% on the route-weighted index since 1973.

Cooper's Hawk Population Forecast in Oklahoma

If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.10 (95% range 0.02–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.

-5%Change by 2029TrendPercent change in the route-weighted abundance index between a smoothed baseline window and the most recent one. It tracks direction, not absolute population.Full methodology →
0.10Projected 2029 indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →
0.02–0.1795% range95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
±33.2%Backtest errorBacktest errorTypical error when we hold out the most recent years, forecast them, and compare to what actually happened. Lower means a more trustworthy projection.Full methodology →
If the recent trend holds, Cooper's Hawk in Oklahoma is projected to stay roughly flat through 2029, near 0.10 (95% range 0.02–0.17). A 5-year backtest shows a typical error of ±33.2%, with 100% of held-out values landing inside the 95% band.19682029
Projection of the recent trend (dashed) with 80/95% bands — a projection, not a prediction. Habitat, climate, and land use are not modeled.
YearProjected indexProjected indexThe central forecast of the abundance index if the recent trend continues. A projection of the current trajectory, not a prediction.Full methodology →95% low95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →95% high95% rangeThe 95% uncertainty band around the projection at the forecast horizon. The true value should land inside it most of the time.Full methodology →
20250.100.020.17
20260.100.020.17
20270.100.020.17
20280.100.020.17
20290.100.020.17

Cooper's Hawk Survey Routes in Oklahoma

Routes recording Cooper's Hawk in Oklahoma.
Recent countThe raw number of individuals recorded on this route in its most recent survey year. A single-route tally, not a trend.Full methodology →
Phillips220061973
Goodwater220052005
Big Cedar119841984
Phroso120061997
Mcalester119871987
Mill Creek120122003
Ouachita Nf120161994
Ardmore119921987
Wichita Mtns East120172005
Cookietown119971997
Mt. Herman120152001
Baron120171982
Canadian120052005
Indianola120051973
Holdenville120191995
Beggs120171970
Choctaw120211974
Noble120211968
Verden120152015
Eagle City120021987
Grimes120012001
Erick120222006
Collinsville120212002
Bartlesville120181994
Douglas120132013

Cooper's Hawk Population Trend in Other States

alabamaarizonaarkansascaliforniacoloradoconnecticutdelawarefloridageorgiaidahoillinoisindianaiowakansaskentuckylouisianamainemarylandmassachusettsmichiganminnesotamississippimissourimontananebraskanevadanew-hampshirenew-jerseynew-mexiconew-yorknorth-carolinanorth-dakotaohiooregonpennsylvaniarhode-islandsouth-carolinasouth-dakotatennesseetexasutahvermontvirginiawashingtonwest-virginiawisconsinwyoming

Source: USGS North American Breeding Bird Survey, retrieved 2026-05-22.